Showing posts with label Thomson Reuters. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Thomson Reuters. Show all posts

Sluggish Latin #American #results show risks for U.S. #companies

#GNN - U.S. companies are reporting sluggish financial results in Latin America, showing the risks they face in relying on Brazil and other emerging markets in the region for growth.
Companies ranging from Ford Motor Co to 3M Co and Caterpillar Inc reported second quarter earnings that highlighted weakness in their Latin or South American operations.

While Venezuela's weak currency valuation previously weighed on U.S. corporate finances, the latest results indicate broader struggles. Several companies reported tepid performance in Brazil, the biggest economy in Latin America, where some economists fear the country is on the verge of a recession.


"The place where we see a little bit more of a challenge is Latin America," 3M Chief Executive Officer Inge Thulin told analysts on the company's quarterly conference call on Thursday. The diversified manufacturer, whose products include office supplies and industrial adhesives, cut its full-year revenue forecast for the region, the worst-performing in the quarter, hurt by a sales decline in Brazil.

U.S. companies that have looked to emerging Latin American economies for growth have seen those expectations dented in recent months by Brazil's political and economic turmoil, Venezuela's currency woes and Argentina's renewed battle with major creditors.

"This is kind of the up-and-down of emerging markets," said J. Bryant Evans, who manages an international equity income portfolio at Cozad Asset Management in Champaign, Illinois.

'NOT HAPPENING'
A poll of more than 60 economists from earlier this month found that Latin American economies will probably grow at a slower pace than previously thought this year. Economies in Brazil, Argentina and Chile are expected to be weaker this year than in 2013, while Mexico is far from achieving the fast growth promised by sweeping economic reforms, the poll found.

U.S. corporate prospects in Latin America have also been dampened by competition, lack of expected growth among the middle class and fluctuations in commodity prices, said Rafael Amiel, director for Latin America economics at research firm IHS.

"For multinational companies, the growth they were expecting in many Latin American markets is not happening," Amiel said.

South America was the only region in the world where Ford posted a quarterly loss -- $295 million, compared with a $151 million profit a year earlier.

South American countries "remain largely closed markets that have trade barriers up across many sectors of their economies, so they are actually pretty uncompetitive on a global basis, and that includes the automotive industry," Ford Chief Financial Officer Bob Shanks told Reuters. "Now that that capital is flowing out, those economies are suffering."

The importance of the Brazilian market to U.S. companies has been rising over the past few years. Though South America has held steady at about 1.6 percent of sales at S&P 500 companies over the past three years, Brazil's portion of sales within the region more than doubled between the start of 2010 and 2014, according to Thomson Reuters data.

Earlier this week, the Brazilian government lowered its economic growth forecast for 2014 to 1.8 percent from 2.5 percent. Economists think the growth could be even more tepid -- 0.97 percent, according to a weekly survey.

MEXICAN CRACKS
Caterpillar, which reported a 16 percent decline in second quarter Latin American sales, lowered its overall sales outlook in part because of worries over Brazil, Chief Financial Officer Brad Halverson told Reuters in an interview.

"We are concerned about Brazil," Halverson said. "They raised interest rates last year. The economy is slowing. Consumer confidence is plunging along with business confidence."

Whirlpool Corp reported a lower operating profit in Latin America and downgraded its forecast for appliance market sales in the region for 2014. Still, company executives said weakness in Brazil was more of a short-term concern and expressed optimism about the economy.

"We continue to believe that the macroeconomic indicators in Brazil point to long-term healthy demand growth," Mike Rodman, president of Whirlpool International, told analysts.

Some cracks also emerged in Mexico, the region's second-largest economy. For example, a new tax in Mexico has put pressure on U.S. food companies such as PepsiCo Inc , which blamed the tax for sales declines in its food business.

While companies such as 3M reported solid results from the country, the Mexican economy grew by only 0.3 percent in the first quarter. John Gerspach, the chief financial officer of Citigroup , which has about $11.7 billion of credit card loans in Latin America, told analysts last week that "as the Mexico economy continues to struggle to really regain the momentum that everyone thought that it would have, consumer spending has not been robust."

(Additional reporting by James B. Kelleher in Chicago, Bernie Woodall in Detroit, Dan Wilchins in New York and Silvio Cascione in Brasilia. Editing by John Pickering)

Higher stock underwriting revenue boosts Goldman profit

(GNN) - Goldman Sachs Group Inc GS.N posted a 5 percent rise in quarterly profit, spurred by higher revenue from stock underwriting and a smaller decline in fixed-income trading than many on Wall Street had predicted.
The bank's stock was up 0.7 percent at $168.17 on Tuesday morning on the New York Stock Exchange.

Goldman posted net income for shareholders of $1.95 billion, or $4.10 per share, in the three months ended June 30, up from $1.86 billion or $3.70 per share in the same period a year earlier.

Analysts on average had expected earnings of $3.05 per share, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.

Institutional investors have been shying away from the bond market because of a lack of strong opinions about interest rates and currency moves.

Rival banks Citigroup Inc C.N and JPMorgan Chase & Co JPM.N said a pickup in trading volume in June helped offset slowness in April and May.

"The sustainability of that trend is in question," said Brian Kleinhanzl, a research analyst at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods who rates Goldman a "market perform."

JPMorgan said on Tuesday that the June improvement in bond trading has not carried over to July.

Goldman's net revenue from fixed-income, currency and commodity trading for customers, known as FICC, fell 10 percent to $2.22 billion.

Analysts had expected a bigger decline. Bernstein Research analyst Brad Hintz had estimated $1.8 billion in fixed-income trading revenue for the quarter.

In May, JPMorgan Chase & Co and Citigroup forecasted declines in overall trading revenue closer to 20 percent for the second quarter, compared with the same period last year.

Goldman's net revenue in its investing and lending division jumped 46 percent to $2.07 billion. This included net gains of $1.25 billion from investments in equities.

The bank was also helped by better results in investment banking, where it ranked No. 1 in mergers and acquisitions, as well as equity underwriting, for the first half of 2014, according to Thomson Reuters data.

In equity underwriting, the bank's revenue rose 47 percent to $545 million, helped by Goldman's work on deals including the initial public offering of Ally Financial. ALLY.N

Investment banking revenue overall, which includes M&A, debt underwriting and stock underwriting, rose 15 percent to $1.78 billion.

Goldman executives often say that investment banking is the center of its broader franchise, because those clients also generate revenue for its trading, investment management and lending businesses.

The bank makes most of its money from trading and investing in capital markets. This sets it apart from JPMorgan Chase & Co, Citigroup and Bank of America Corp BAC.N, which have big consumer and corporate lending businesses.

JPMorgan, the biggest U.S. bank by assets, on Tuesday reported an 8 percent decline in second-quarter profit as a pullback in trading of bonds and currencies by big institutions hit revenue in its securities trading business.

On Monday, Citigroup reported a 16 percent drop in trading revenue.

(GNN)(Reuters)(AIP)(Reporting by Anil D'Silva in Bangalore and Lauren Tara LaCapra in New York; editing by Saumyadeb Chakrabarty, Dan Wilchins, and Matthew Lewis)

Citi, U.S. $7 billion settlement announcement expected Monday

(GNN) - Citigroup agreed to pay $7 billion to resolve a U.S. government investigation into shoddy mortgage-backed securities the bank sold in the run-up to the 2008 financial crisis in a settlement set to be announced on Monday, sources said.

The $7 billion includes $4 billion in cash to the U.S. Department of Justice, $2.5 billion in consumer relief, more than $200 million to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation and just under $300 million to settle probes by five states, said sources familiar with the negotiations.

Spokespeople for the Justice Department and the bank declined comment. Representatives of attorneys general of New York, Delaware, California, Massachusetts and Illinois, the states said to be involved, did not immediately return requests for comment. Nor did the FDIC.

The settlement, signed over the weekend, caps months of negotiations, during which the government demanded $12 billion and threatened to sue Citigroup, according to the sources.

The deal is scheduled to be announced on Monday morning when Citigroup executives also will report second-quarter results before the stock market opens in New York, the sources said.

The $7 billion has surprised stock analysts and people inside the bank, who expected Citigroup to resolve the investigations for much less.

Citigroup is the second major bank to settle with authorities since President Barack Obama ordered the formation of a task force to investigate the sale and packaging of toxic home loans, which were at the center of the 2008 financial crisis. The Justice Department issued more than a dozen subpoenas to financial institutions in early 2012.

Bank of America Corp also has been negotiating with the Justice Department over similar claims.

JPMorgan Chase & Co, the largest U.S. bank, last year agreed to pay $13 billion to settle government probes over the packaging of toxic mortgages, including by Bear Stearns and Washington Mutual, which the bank acquired during the crisis.

The $13 billion JPMorgan accord was comprised of a $2 billion penalty to the Justice Department, $4 billion in consumer relief, $4 billion to the Federal Housing Finance Agency, and $3 billion to other authorities.

Citigroup's penalty to the Justice Department is twice what JPMorgan paid, though it had handled far fewer mortgage-backed securities, because investigators found more evidence of defective loans in the bank's securities and more awareness of the wrongdoing at the time, the sources said.

At the same time, the Citigroup settlement covers the bank's potential exposure for tens of billions of dollars' worth of collateralized debt obligations, the sources said. JPMorgan got no such release in its deal.

LONG NEGOTIATIONS

Negotiations with Citigroup, the third largest U.S. bank, began with a meeting in Brooklyn in November, the day the JPMorgan settlement was announced, one source said.

In late April, the bank offered $363 million, the sources said. At a May 2 meeting in Washington, the government demanded the bank increase its offer, sources said, and Citi responded with $700 million.

Justice did not consider the offer realistic, according to sources. Citi then came up with $1 billion in cash and $2 billion in consumer relief, one source said.

But by then, Justice made a demand of $12 billion, sources said.

Negotiations reached a fevered pitch the week of June 9, with Citigroup requesting to meet with U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder several times that week, only to be rebuffed, one source said.

The Department of Justice gave Citigroup until June 13 to come back with a serious offer. By that Sunday, Citigroup agreed to pay $3.6 billion in cash, $2.5 billion in consumer relief and $900 million more to cover probes by five states and the FDIC, one source said.

The department threatened to sue Citigroup, but on June 17 postponed a planned announcement, sources said.

Top Justice Department officials were preoccupied with the capture of a suspect in the 2012 attack on U.S. diplomatic facilities in Benghazi, Libya, and other commitments, sources said.

The bank then worked on the consumer relief portion and Tony West, the No. 3 Justice Department official, negotiated for Citi to settle with the states and FDIC for $500 million, rather than $900 million, one source said.

The $400 million difference was moved into the Justice Department's bucket, where it was no longer tax deductible as a business expense, the source said.

IMPACT ON RESULTS
How much the deal will reduce Citigroup's quarterly results on Monday depends on various factors.

Citigroup has not disclosed how much of the legal cost it has already incurred by booking reserves. Analysts have estimated its legal reserves at between $2 billion and $3.5 billion.

Citigroup said in May that possible litigation losses in excess of its reserves could be as much as $5 billion.

Analysts, on average, have expected Citigroup to report on Monday that it earned $1.09 a share in the second-quarter, down nearly 13 percent from a year earlier, according to a survey by Thomson Reuters. It's not clear whether the estimates had been updated to include the expected settlement. (Reuters)(AIP)(Reporting by Karen Freifeld in New York and Aruna Viswanatha in Washington; Additional reporting by David Henry in New York; Editing by Frances Kerry and Sandra Maler)