Showing posts with label Brazil. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Brazil. Show all posts

Global population growth threatens to outstrip fresh water supply: study

ROME (Thomson Reuters Foundation) - Global demand for fresh water is set to outstrip supply as a result of population growth by the middle of this century if current levels of consumption continue, a study said.

Fears of water shortages could intensify although this is not the first time in history that demand is poised to outpace supply, Tony Parolari, the study's lead author, said on Wednesday.


"Global water consumption per capita has been declining since 1980 which means efficiency is increasing," Parolari, a researcher at Duke University, told the Thomson Reuters Foundation.

"But if population growth trends continue, water use will have to decline more substantially."

The world's population is expected to hit 9.6 billion by 2050 from more than 7 billion now, according to U.N. estimates.

Whether humans can adapt to declining water supplies depends on what new technologies for finding water are developed, and whether population growth levels off, the study said.

The paper, published in the journal WIREs Water, analyzed historical information on water consumption and demographics with the help of mathematical models to chart changes over time.

Shortages are already affecting millions in Sao Paulo, Brazil, where residents have been hoarding water in their apartments following a drought, and the U.S. state of California which is entering its fourth year of drought.

In past eras of water scarcity, during the expansion of European cities such as London and Paris in the 19th and early 20th century, technological solutions to the problem were developed - such as expanding pipeline networks to pump in water from further afield.

Current pressures could be solved or at least mitigated with new expertise, including improved ways of removing salt from ocean water to produce fresh drinking water, Parolari said.

(Reporting By Chris Arsenault; Editing by Katie Nguyen)

Rousseff widens Brazil election lead, challengers even

#GNN Brazil: Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff has extended her lead ahead of Sunday's election and would win re-election in a likely second-round runoff, while her main challengers are running neck-and-neck for second place, polls showed on Thursday.
Environmentalist Marina Silva has continued to slip and is now only 3 percentage points ahead of centrist candidate Aecio Neves, according to the Datafolha polling firm, a statistical tie because it is within the poll's margin of error.

If no candidate wins an outright majority in first-round voting, the presidential election will be decided in a runoff between the two leading candidates on Oct. 26.


Both Datafolha and a second poll by the Ibope research firm show Rousseff winning re-election in the runoff by 7 percentage points.

Rousseff increased her lead in the first round to 16 percentage points in both polls, with 40 percent of voter support to 24 percent for Silva.

Neves, the market favorite who has been stuck in third place since Silva's late entry into the race, increased his support by 1 percentage point to 21 percent, Datafolha said, and now has a fighting chance of making the runoff.

The polls confirmed that Silva, a popular anti-establishment figure, has continued to lose ground since peaking in late August. Silva surged after entering the race when her party's original candidate was killed in a plane crash, and initially gained a 10-point advantage over Rousseff.

She lost ground under a barrage of criticism from Rousseff's campaign that portrayed her pro-market policies as a threat to Brazil's poor and questioned her ability to govern Brazil without a solid party coalition.

Rousseff's increased chances of winning re-election have weighed down Brazil's markets where investors are hoping for a change of government. Some blame Rousseff's interventionist policies for the stagnation of Latin America's largest economy.

Silva, a renowned conservationist who has embraced market-friendly policies, is promising to jumpstart Brazil's stagnant economy, while Rousseff vows to extend social programs that have lifted millions of Brazilians out of poverty and reduced inequality in Latin America's largest nation.

The seven main candidates in the race were to face each other in a final television debate late on Thursday, the last day of campaigning.

In her last television ad, Silva assailed Rousseff for lying about the government's role in a bribery and kickback scandal rocking state-run oil company Petroleo Brasileiro SA.

The Datafolha poll surveyed 12,022 respondents nationwide between Oct. 1 and Oct. 2 and the Ibope surveyed 3,010 respondents nationwide between Sept. 27 and Oct. 2. Both polls have a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.

(GNN, AIP)(Reuters)(Reporting by Anthony Boadle; Editing by Tom Brown)

An environmentalist's calculated push toward Brazil's presidency

#GNN Brazil: In March 2003, three months into her tenure as Brazil's environment minister, Marina Silva gathered a half-dozen aides at the modernist ministry building in Brasilia, the capital.
She told them the new government of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva was about to embark on a pharaonic infrastructure project for Brazil's arid Northeast.

The project, a still-ongoing effort to reroute water from one of Brazil's biggest rivers, had previously been opposed by environmentalists, including Silva herself.


Rather than explain how she would thwart the plan, however, the former activist said she would work to make it as sustainable as possible.

"I was shocked," says Marijane Lisboa, a former Greenpeace director and Silva's secretary of environmental quality then. "Instead of fighting, she was merely trying to mitigate."

Lisboa would not be the last person surprised by Silva, a former rubber tapper and maid and now a frontrunner in Brazil's presidential election race.

Once considered a leftist radical, the pioneer of Amazon conservation and icon of the global environmental movement has over the years marched steadily to the political center.

A 56-year-old-mother of four and evangelical Christian, Silva barely trails President Dilma Rousseff in forecasts for an expected runoff three weeks after a first round of voting on Sunday.

She is buoyed by discontent over corruption, political horse-trading, a stagnant economy and poor public services that last year sparked mass protests across Brazil.

But Silva is also a pragmatic, calculating and deal-making politician who defies efforts by rivals to cast her as inexperienced, or worse, erratic.

After moving across three parties in recent years, Silva now represents the second-tier Brazilian Socialist Party and vows to expand popular social welfare programs even as she slashes government spending.

She would pursue renewable energy programs, like biomass and solar power, but promises to keep developing the "one-time harvest" of offshore oil.

"Why does one activity have to come at the expense of another?" she said during a recent interview with Reuters in Rio de Janeiro. "A strong economy is diversified."

Silva's shift outrages some militant former followers and former colleagues in the ruling Workers' Party.

But it attracts disparate others - fellow evangelicals, São Paulo financiers, youth sick of the status quo.

If elected, her biggest struggle could be weaving the sundry strands of support into a manageable harness for Brazil's rambunctious multi-party democracy.

FROM ACTIVISM TO PRAGMATISM
In interviews, more than a dozen of those who know Silva describe a thoughtful politician firm enough to lead but pliant enough to bend when an opposing argument prevails. They say her five years as minister, and political comeback since a high-profile resignation in 2008, show her ability to set priorities, pursue goals and compromise.

"Call her anything but dumb," says Roberto Rodrigues, a former agriculture minister who clashed with Silva in the Lula administration over genetically modified crops and forestry laws. "She knows a militant cannot be president."

Silva's remarkable rise from illness and illiteracy in the rainforest to the Senate and beyond is already political lore. But her evolution from activist to possible president still puzzles many who thought her incapable of the give-and-take needed at the highest levels of politics.

In 2002, Brazilians elected Lula, a fiery former union leader. After naming a market-friendly finance minister, who soothed fears the president would be fiscally reckless, Lula made Silva his second cabinet appointment, garnering praise from conservationists worldwide.

Upon taking office in January 2003, Silva told department heads to plot priorities for the four-year term. The previous administration, of centrist Fernando Henrique Cardoso, had been too busy taming Brazil's volatile economy to pay much attention to environmental issues.

Silva held big meetings and fielded proposals for waste policies, watershed management and parkland.

But she had one overriding concern: soaring deforestation. Loggers and ranchers were pushing so quickly into the Amazon that an area the size of Belgium was being destroyed annually.

Silva proposed setting targets for curbing the rate of deforestation. She told a committee to map out a plan to reach them and rebuffed aides who suggested such targets could doom her politically if unmet.

"I'll deserve political failure if we don't reach them," she said, recalls former forestry secretary João Paulo Capobianco, still one of her closest advisors. "Whatever we do in other areas, deforestation is the measure by which we will be judged."

Some aides complained she paid little mind to anything else.

When it came to rerouting the São Francisco river, she offered sparse resistance, settling for a commitment that long-polluted parts of the river be cleaned up during the project. "If it was outside the Amazon, it was not a priority," says Gilney Viana, secretary for sustainable development then.

Soon, political conflicts intruded on her agenda.

Big meetings gave way to individual discussions with aides able to help her negotiate with the rest of the administration. "She spent more time courting Lula and other ministers than running the ministry," recalls one aide, who asked not to be identified because of continued ties to the government.

POWERFUL OPPONENTS
The agriculture ministry, a powerful force in one of the world's largest exporters of crops, was particularly problematic.

Early on, it sought to convince Lula that genetically modified soybeans growing in southern Brazil be allowed for sale. So-called "Maradona seeds," smuggled from Argentina, were still illegal in Brazil but farmers planted them anyway.

Silva lobbied against their sale. She also sought to ensure that her ministry control a new government body to regulate genetically modified crops.

She lost on both counts.

Already, environmentalists pushed her to resign in protest.

Instead, she secured a legal change forcing manufacturers to label foods containing genetically modified ingredients. "She knew how to negotiate," says Beto Albuquerque, a former congressman from the state where the soy was planted.

Once an antagonist, Albuquerque is now Silva's running mate.

Meanwhile, Silva progressed against deforestation.

Whereas the ministry had once battled alone, she convinced 12 other federal agencies, from the army to the justice ministry, to help. The science ministry, headed by a promising young politician named Eduardo Campos, ceded government satellites to track clearings.

In 2006, deforestation plunged to half the rate in 2004.

The following year, soaring demand for Brazil's commodity exports was fueling an economic boom. With re-election in sight, a group of ministers convinced Lula to dust off a series of long-proposed infrastructure projects, including hydroelectric dams on Amazon tributaries.

Some ministers, including Rousseff, Lula's chief of staff, pushed for speedy licensing. Silva resisted, angering Rousseff and the large builders who help finance Workers' Party coffers.

When Lula was re-elected, Silva was the last existing minister re-appointed.

In late 2007, gains against deforestation stalled, in part because of speculation on rainforest near proposed infrastructure sites. Silva convinced Lula to double down, introducing measures to block credit for those caught buying or selling goods from illegally cleared woodland.

When farmers complained, Lula considered revoking the measures.

In May 2008, Silva resigned. "I may lose my head," she said, "but I haven't lost my judgment."

Where some saw defeat, supporters saw wile.

"Lula could drop the measures and take the blame when deforestation worsened," says Tasso Azevedo, a forestry engineer who still advises Silva, "or he could keep them and take the credit for improvement."

Lula left them intact. The pace of deforestation during his two terms decreased by 75 percent.

'STRATEGIC VISION'
After resigning, Silva quit the Workers' Party and found a brief home with Brazil's Green Party. More importantly, she courted resourceful allies, especially Guilherme Leal, the billionaire behind Natura, a cosmetics empire built on locally-sourced ingredients, many of them from the Amazon.

Leal says he admired Silva's "strategic vision" for a country with the world's largest rainforest and abundant sources of water and clean energy. He also admired her political chops.

"It's in her DNA," Leal says. "She puts the knife between her teeth and goes. Not after power for power's sake, but for the sake of political action."

Leal financed a presidential campaign for Silva in 2010 and joined her ticket as running mate. He also introduced her to an influential group of economists, business people and financiers.

Now an important part of her power base, those people repel some of Silva's former fans.

Leonardo Boff, a prominent theologian and anti-poverty activist who has known Silva since her youth, says she has surrounded herself with "neoliberals" – capitalist types unpopular with some leftists.

Still, Silva surprised. She reaped 20 percent of the vote in 2010, far more than expected.

Green Party leaders were annoyed that a newcomer had eclipsed them so Silva defected and tried to form a new party.

When a court ruled last year that the party did not meet electoral requirements for this election, she turned to another ally: Campos, the former science minister, by now a popular governor and a presidential aspirant himself.

Campos made Silva his vice-presidential candidate. He then died in a plane crash in August and Silva moved to the top of the ticket.

At a recent rally in Rio, Silva denounced "savage marketing" by opponents suggesting she would halt oil exploration in the region. She chastised the Workers' Party, itself the target of scaremongering before it came to power, for painting her as a radical.

"I fought against lies back then," she said. "Now they want to use the same rusty knife against me."

(GNN, AIP)(Reuters)(Editing by Todd Benson and Kieran Murray)

Secret Update Removes Photo Library Access As It Faces Renewed Claims It Isn’t So Anonymous

#GNN Tech - Secret has a new update out for Android, with an iOS equivalent arriving sometime next week. The app changes include the addition of Flickr image search, which requires the “exchange” of the ability to use pics from your photo library, in a move clearly designed to limit users from sharing potentially damaging pics of people they know. You can still take a pic on the fly and share it, but you can’t dip into the archive, which could help stop users from sharing images of their exes in the buff, for instance.
Other updates going out in the new version include the ability to poll contacts via a “Yes or No” poll, as well as more new tools aimed at shoring up the potential for the anonymous social network to do damage to individuals and their reputations.

The analyzing process implemented by Secret to detect names has been improved with the power to detect keyword, sentiment and photos of people who might also be questionable. The app will present its warning when it finds these new types of questionable content, and if the poster proceeds, the post will be flagged for review by Secret to make sure it’s safe.

Secret is also going a step further with its real name policy, and isn’t just warning users against posting, but is actively blocking posts with the names of individuals when it can, and are devoting resources to improving this aspect of its app.

These updates are timely, for a couple of reasons: First, Secret faces legal action in Brazil, where a judge has granted a temporary injunction against it being made available in either Google Play or the App Store. This has resulted in Apple blocking its availability in its mobile software store in order to comply with the order.

The problem in Brazil was sparked by at least one user claiming that pictures of them were shared on the network by an anonymous poster, including their personal details, so the update here seems designed directly to address that through blocking of the camera roll and automatic detection and deletion of real name posts.

Second, Secret faces renewed scrutiny about the actual anonymity of its app after a new Wired report reveals that simple hacks (more like address book tricks) can reveal Secrets attached to a specific address book.

Secret has responded already, saying it has plugged the gap, but the workaround resembles ones we’ve seen before, so it raises the question of whether a permanent solution will ever render posts anonymous in a lasting way. For its part, Secret says these exploits have never resulted in a significant outing of user identity, and they are always addressed as soon as they’re discovered.

The company has been pretty good about responding to issues quickly, which is key as it operates in clearly sensitive territory. The question that remains is whether it can stay out ahead of these recurring issues while also pushing the product forward in a meaningful way.

Exclusive: Facebook to expand video ads to seven countries outside U.S.

(GNN) - Facebook Inc is expanding its new video advertising service, allowing marketers to show the television-like spots to users of the social network in Britain, Brazil and five other countries, the company told Reuters.

The move marks a significant ramping up of one of Facebook's most closely watched new advertising products, which analysts believe could help the Internet company capture a bigger slice of lucrative brand advertising budgets.
http://www.gnnworld.tk/2014/05/exclusive-facebook-to-expand-video-ads.html
A portrait of the Facebook logo in Ventura, California December 21, 2013.
The 15-second video ads appear in users' newsfeeds and play automatically with the sound muted until they are clicked on. Facebook began selling the ads in the United States in March to a small group of marketers including insurance company Progressive Corp and television broadcaster NBC, a unit of Comcast Corp.

Facebook said the performance of the initial group of video ads in the United States has been strong, but declined to elaborate.

As it did in the United States, Facebook is moving cautiously to roll out the auto-play video ads in its overseas markets to avoid annoying users. The company will initially work with a limited group of advertisers in France, Germany, Brazil, Japan, Canada, Australia and Britain starting next month.

Each ad must pass a quality-control test that Facebook administers in conjunction with video analytics firm Ace Metrix.

Most of the commercials in international markets will not appear on Facebook's website until September, as the Internet company spends several months working closely with marketers to ensure that the spots meet its quality standards, a Facebook spokesman told Reuters.

But he said that companies whose commercials are deemed acceptable could begin airing them on Facebook in June, in time for the World Cup international soccer tournament, a popular event for brand advertisers.

Video ads, along with ads on the Facebook-owned Instagram photo-sharing app, are among the new businesses that analysts believe could turn into important money-makers for Facebook, though the company has said it does not expect video ads to contribute meaningfully to its business this year.

Facebook's ad revenue grew 82 percent year-on-year to $2.27 billion in the first quarter.

The price that marketers pay to run a video ad on Facebook is determined by the size of the audience as measured by measurement firm Nielsen. Marketers can choose specific times of day for their spots and can target ads according to age and gender.

Online video ads, which typically carry much higher rates than other forms of online ads, could help Facebook bolster its ad revenue in international markets where the company's average revenue per user is lower than in the United States and Canada.

Roughly 84 percent of Facebook's 1.28 billion monthly users are outside of the United States and Canada, with 87 million monthly users in Brazil and 34 million monthly users in the UK at the end of the first quarter, according to the company. Daily mobile users in Brazil increased 75 percent to 35 million in the nine-month period ending in the first quarter, Facebook said.

(Editing by Matthew Lewis) (GNN & Reuters)

Credit Suisse's Verde sticks with bet against Brazilian real

Money managers at Credit Suisse Group's (CSGN.VX) CSHG Verde FIC FIM, the largest Brazilian hedge fund, said on Monday they were sticking with their bet on a decline in Brazil's currency, as concerns grow over the sustainability of public finances in Latin America's largest economy.
http://www.globalnewsnetwork.tk/2014/03/credit-suisses-verde-sticks-with-bet.html
The shadow of Brady W. Dougan, CEO of Credit Suisse, is pictured before the full year results conference in Zurich February 6, 2014.
Fundo Verde shed 1.25 percent in February, on top of a 0.06 percent in January, which were its first back-to-back monthly declines since mid-2011, according to a letter to investors. The year-to-date 1.31 percent loss at Verde compares with a return of 1.63 percent in Brazil's benchmark CDI interbank interest rate, the letter said.

February's loss stemmed from the fund's exposure to the Brazilian currency, the real, and to fixed-income investments, the letter said. Verde, led by renowned Brazilian money manager Luis Stuhlberger, oversees more than 20 billion reais ($8.5 billion) in assets.

In the letter, Stuhlberger and his team said the real's 2.9 percent gain in February followed a central bank strategy to ease demand for foreign currency and raise borrowing costs to head off inflation, making returns in the country more attractive than in other emerging market economies.

The situation, however, may not prevail for long as investment and portfolio inflows into Brazil lose steam, the letter suggested.

So far this month, the real is down 0.1 percent.

"This juggling act between fundamentals and market timing is a classical dilemma in asset management, and I already went through this thing many times in my long career," Stuhlberger said. "We continue to believe in the thesis of a devaluation of the real."

The biggest argument behind Verde's bet against the real lies in its questioning of the sustainability of Brazil's public finances, the letter said. In the short run, however, concern about the issue eased following a pledge by President Dilma Rousseff's administration to slash 44 billion reais in spending and deliver a primary budget surplus equivalent to 1.9 percent of gross domestic product.

Rousseff's budget spending practices are undergoing close scrutiny from investors after she promised to rein in public spending to avoid a downgrade by credit ratings agency Standard & Poor's. The primary surplus is a measure of the government's ability to generate cash that will be used to pay down debt.

Shrinking primary surpluses have widened Brazil's overall budget shortfall, which includes all expenses including debt-servicing, to a three-year high of 3.28 percent of GDP. In 2012, the deficit was 2.48 percent of GDP.

Stuhlberger is the chief investment officer of Credit Suisse Hedging Griffo, the Swiss bank's asset management division in Brazil.

($1 = 2.35 Brazilian reais)

(Reporting by Guillermo Parra-Bernal; Editing by Paul Simao)

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